NORTH KOREA – AT 1:08 P.M. ET:   A serious authority predicts another North Korean action next week.  We have to take his concern seriously.  From US News:

A top CIA official for the Korean Peninsula warned Wednesday that the U.S. should be ready for a new provocation by North Korea on Columbus Day, Oct. 9, which coincides with the anniversary of the founding of the political party that governs in Pyongyang.

"Stand by your phones," Yong Suk Lee, deputy assistant director of the CIA's Korea Mission Center, said while speaking at a conference organized by the agency at The George Washington University.

Lee did not speculate what North Korea might do, though it frequently carries out missile launches or nuclear tests on major state anniversaries, such as the birthday of leader Kim Jong Un or other dates associated with the lives of his father or grandfather.  Oct. 10 marks the anniversary of the founding of the Workers' Party of Korea in 1945.

Tensions with North Korea have reached new extremes in recent weeks, following months of increased weapons tests combined with new U.S. appraisals that Pyongyang is close to perfecting or perhaps already has made an intercontinental ballistic missile that can carry a nuclear warhead and hit targets accurately.

Lee added that Pyongyang historically has been controlled by its fear of the Chinese abandoning its support for the Hermit Kingdom, or that the U.S. would carry out a military strike. Kim Jong Un no longer has those fears, Lee said.

"There's a clarity of purpose in what Kim Jong Un has done," Lee said.

COMMENT:   We'll see.  It's only a prediction, but an authoritative one.  The United States has usually been strong on technical intelligence, but much less strong on human intelligence – knowing the intent of enemy leaders.

Some say that Kim is actually very cautious, and has no interest in an actual conflict with the United States or any of our allies.  Others, however, say he's impulsive and unpredictable, and may act recklessly when he should be most careful.

You know, those Japanese are shrewd.  They'd never attack Pearl Harbor.

October 5, 2017